The Oklahoma City Thunder are 5.5-point favorites heading into Game 3 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena on Friday, beginning at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN. The series is tied 1-1.
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Predictions for Friday
Our computer model for this game calls for a final score of Thunder 120, Nuggets 112.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-240)
- Total Pick: Under 232.5 (computer predicts 231.9 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-5.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Nuggets Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/7/2025 | Thunder | -10 | 229.5 | -488 | +371 | 149-106 OKC |
| 5/5/2025 | Thunder | -10.5 | 228.5 | -481 | +366 | 121-119 DEN |
| 3/10/2025 | Thunder | -8.5 | 240.5 | -403 | +315 | 140-127 DEN |
| 3/9/2025 | Thunder | -7.5 | 243.5 | -311 | +249 | 127-103 OKC |
| 11/6/2024 | Thunder | -7 | 224.5 | -256 | +215 | 124-122 DEN |
| 10/24/2024 | Nuggets | -2 | 228.5 | -134 | +113 | 102-87 OKC |
| 1/31/2024 | Thunder | -5.5 | 223 | -221 | +180 | 105-100 OKC |
| 12/29/2023 | Nuggets | -1.5 | 237.5 | -125 | +105 | 119-93 OKC |
| 12/16/2023 | Nuggets | -5 | 237.5 | -206 | +171 | 118-117 OKC |
| 10/29/2023 | Nuggets | -3.5 | 230.5 | -163 | +139 | 128-95 DEN |
Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City is 54-26-2 against the spread this season.
- The Thunder are 40-22-1 against the spread when favored by 5.5 points or more this season.
- In Oklahoma City's 82 games with a set total, 46 have hit the over (56.1%).
- This season, the Thunder have been favored 79 times and won 66, or 83.5%, of those games.
- This season, Oklahoma City has won 50 of its 60 games, or 83.3%, when favored by at least -240 on the moneyline.
Nuggets 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Denver is 38-44-0 ATS this season.
- The Nuggets are 5-4 against the spread when an underdog by 5.5 points or more this season.
- The teams have combined to hit the over in 49 of Denver's 82 games with a set total.
- The Nuggets have won 50% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (10-10).
- Denver has gone 5-2 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +196 or longer (71.4%).
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Nikola Topic: Out For Season (Acl)
Nuggets
Nuggets:
DaRon Holmes: Out For Season (Achilles)
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Friday, May 9, 2025
- Game time: 10 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN
- Location: Denver, Colorado
- Arena: Ball Arena
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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